Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.239720 0.281430 0.330957 0.394872 0.476318 0.578247 0.718100
2024-12-22 0.171570 0.219515 0.283719 0.378860 0.521626 0.737713 1.111473
2024-12-29 0.140089 0.190852 0.265259 0.388380 0.600857 0.984708 1.829450
2025-01-05 0.115676 0.164564 0.240939 0.378032 0.641903 1.195018 2.720074
2025-01-12 0.101355 0.149640 0.229383 0.383456 0.712364 1.514065 4.367525
2025-01-19 0.089169 0.135453 0.215278 0.378916 0.759961 1.822944 6.713368
2025-01-26 0.081394 0.127070 0.209236 0.387944 0.843443 2.319054 11.706675
2025-02-02 0.075721 0.121278 0.206572 0.403092 0.952093 3.044557 23.219150
2025-02-09 0.070465 0.115357 0.202364 0.413356 1.054834 3.927488 49.821936
2025-02-16 0.066209 0.110635 0.199605 0.426324 1.176888 5.179924 135.268812
2025-02-23 0.062098 0.105604 0.195235 0.433868 1.288008 6.703733 484.064658
2025-03-02 0.058209 0.100502 0.189811 0.437015 1.387511 8.539685 3245.062194
2025-03-09 0.054316 0.095036 0.182918 0.434828 1.469890 10.712037 394538.411173
2025-03-16 0.050402 0.089123 0.174155 0.424893 1.513604 12.839402 NaN
2025-03-23 0.048226 0.086588 0.172998 0.438721 1.694150 18.553159 NaN
2025-03-30 0.045006 0.081494 0.164858 0.427391 1.730474 22.334693 NaN
2025-04-06 0.042966 0.078743 0.162155 0.434047 1.886342 31.855690 NaN
2025-04-13 0.040597 0.075040 0.156511 0.428777 1.964697 41.445808 NaN
2025-04-20 0.039099 0.073126 0.155243 0.439453 2.174605 66.009284 NaN
2025-04-27 0.037976 0.071945 0.155746 0.457363 2.475693 124.317126 NaN
2025-05-04 0.036716 0.070324 0.154820 0.469517 2.758293 243.320081 NaN
2025-05-11 0.035638 0.069024 0.154606 0.484895 3.113428 602.377604 NaN
2025-05-18 0.034433 0.067316 0.152993 0.493854 3.431993 1729.639589 NaN